<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.2 20190208//EN"
  "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.2/JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"
         xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"
         article-type="research-article"
         dtd-version="1.2">

  <!-- ============================================================ FRONT -->
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">IJLTEMAS</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>International Journal of Latest Technology in Engineering, Management &amp; Applied Science (IJLTEMAS)</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">IJLTEMAS</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2278-2540</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>IJLTEMAS</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <!-- IDs -->
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">568</article-id>
            <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.51583/IJLTEMAS.2026.151000049</article-id>
      
      <!-- Categories -->
            <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Artificial Intelligence</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      
      <!-- Title -->
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Empirical AI-Assisted Drought and Water-Security Assessment of Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh, India</article-title>
      </title-group>

      <!-- Authors -->
      <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author">
                    <name>
            <surname>Saane</surname>
            <given-names>Arvind</given-names>
          </name>
                              <aff>
            Independent Researcher, India                        <country>India</country>
                      </aff>
                    
        </contrib>
              </contrib-group>

      <!-- Volume / Issue / Pages -->
            <volume>15</volume>
                  <issue>10</issue>
                        <fpage>597</fpage>
            <lpage>603</lpage>
            
      <!-- Dates -->
      <history>
                <date date-type="received">
          <day>21</day>
          <month>10</month>
          <year>2026</year>
        </date>
                        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>28</day>
          <month>10</month>
          <year>2026</year>
        </date>
              </history>

            <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>05</day>
        <month>11</month>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      
      <!-- DOI Self-URI -->
            <self-uri xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.51583/IJLTEMAS.2026.151000049"/>
      
      <!-- Keywords -->
            <kwd-group kwd-group-type="author">
                <kwd>Drought; Anantapur District; ERA5; Groundwater; Landsat; Machine learning; Water security</kwd>
              </kwd-group>
      
    </article-meta>
  </front>

  <!-- ============================================================ BODY (Abstract) -->
  <body>
        <sec>
      <title>Abstract</title>
      <p>This study develops and empirically tests an AI-assisted drought and water-security assessment for Anantapur District using three complementary evidence streams: 1940–2025 annual climate observations represented by ERA5 reanalysis, official groundwater-depth observations for 32 mandals in September 2025, and published Landsat-derived vegetation and land-surface-temperature measurements for 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020 in Bommanahal, Beluguppa and Kanekal. Annual rainfall was standardized into drought classes and a leakage-controlled time-series machine-learning experiment was conducted to classify drought/non-drought from lagged rainfall and temperature features. Logistic regression, support-vector machine, random forest and gradient boosting were compared on a final 30% chronological hold-out. The climate series has a mean annual rainfall of 569.0 mm and mean temperature of 27.45 °C. The temperature trend is approximately +0.22 °C per decade. Reported September 2025 groundwater depths range from 0.97 to 27.02 m bgl. Published Landsat evidence shows maximum LST increasing from 36.312 °C in 1990 to 47.717 °C in 2020 in the benchmark mandals. The ML experiment demonstrates feasibility as a research baseline, but its modest sample size and class imbalance prevent operational deployment. The study provides a reproducible empirical foundation for integrating climate, groundwater and remote-sensing evidence in a district-level drought decision-support system.</p>
    </sec>
      </body>

  <!-- ============================================================ BACK (References) -->
    <back>
    <ref-list>
      <title>References</title>
            <ref id="ref1">
        <label>1</label>
        <mixed-citation>Badapalli, P. K., Nakkala, A. B., Kottala, R. B., Pujari, P. S., &amp; Gugulothu, S. (2026). Aeolian sand migration induced land degradation and desertification hotspots identification in the semi-arid rain shadow regions of Anantapur, India. Scientific Reports, 16, 1875. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-31610-0</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref2">
        <label>2</label>
        <mixed-citation>Central Ground Water Board. (2025). Ground water level bulletin: Andhra Pradesh, August 2025.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref3">
        <label>3</label>
        <mixed-citation>Government of India.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref4">
        <label>4</label>
        <mixed-citation>Climate Memory. (2026). Anantapur climate — normals and trends. ERA5-based climate series, 1940–2025.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref5">
        <label>5</label>
        <mixed-citation>European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. (2026). ERA5-Land: Reanalysis dataset.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref6">
        <label>6</label>
        <mixed-citation>Copernicus Climate Change Service.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref7">
        <label>7</label>
        <mixed-citation>Breiman, L. (2001). Random forests. Machine Learning, 45, 5–32.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref8">
        <label>8</label>
        <mixed-citation>https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref9">
        <label>9</label>
        <mixed-citation>Hochreiter, S., &amp; Schmidhuber, J. (1997). Long short-term memory. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref10">
        <label>10</label>
        <mixed-citation>Lundberg, S. M., &amp; Lee, S.-I. (2017). A unified approach to interpreting model predictions. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref11">
        <label>11</label>
        <mixed-citation>OpenStreetMap Wiki. (2022). Sub districts in Anantapur district.</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
            <ref id="ref12">
        <label>12</label>
        <mixed-citation>Reddy, B. S., Sudheer, K. V. S., Kumar, K. A., Reddy, A. M., &amp; Kumari, C. R. (2020/2021). Assessment of variability in monthly, seasonal and annual rainfall received during 140 years at Ananthapuramu district of Andhra Pradesh. Indian Journal of Dryland Agricultural Research and Development, 35(1), 13–19. https://doi.org/10.5958/2231-6701.2020.00003.2</mixed-citation>
      </ref>
          </ref-list>
  </back>
  
</article>
